Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.214758 0.255922 0.302117 0.357692 0.422625 0.495981 0.585016
2025-03-16 0.147138 0.197711 0.260874 0.345115 0.454026 0.589533 0.770292
2025-03-23 0.117380 0.172362 0.246633 0.353354 0.501653 0.699129 0.980424
2025-03-30 0.097188 0.153725 0.235241 0.359789 0.543338 0.801510 1.189075
2025-04-06 0.079974 0.135240 0.219703 0.355965 0.567410 0.879337 1.369317
2025-04-13 0.067050 0.120532 0.206714 0.352741 0.590049 0.955270 1.552395
2025-04-20 0.059638 0.113255 0.203840 0.364152 0.635489 1.068839 1.802456
2025-04-27 0.057076 0.113748 0.213544 0.396970 0.718538 1.248722 2.173411
2025-05-04 0.052057 0.108839 0.213004 0.411719 0.772268 1.385409 2.486061
2025-05-11 0.044989 0.098772 0.201621 0.405334 0.787915 1.458942 2.698528
2025-05-18 0.037899 0.087386 0.186028 0.388832 0.782896 1.495363 2.848921
2025-05-25 0.031941 0.077276 0.171376 0.371972 0.774767 1.524563 2.987755
2025-06-01 0.029452 0.074494 0.171535 0.385374 0.827813 1.673466 3.364187
2025-06-08 0.024907 0.066222 0.159019 0.371181 0.824920 1.717773 3.550899
2025-06-15 0.022775 0.063247 0.157499 0.379952 0.869428 1.856868 3.930595
2025-06-22 0.020766 0.060186 0.155294 0.386833 0.910532 1.992688 4.315338
2025-06-29 0.018333 0.055547 0.148677 0.382742 0.927315 2.080508 4.611014
2025-07-06 0.016257 0.051448 0.142711 0.379294 0.944940 2.171323 4.920160
2025-07-13 0.015213 0.050037 0.143237 0.391499 0.999401 2.344758 5.416408
2025-07-20 0.015296 0.051932 0.152548 0.426590 1.110784 2.650457 6.218675
2025-07-27 0.014483 0.050977 0.154170 0.442355 1.177729 2.863753 6.836859
2025-08-03 0.012859 0.047161 0.147435 0.435530 1.189007 2.953222 7.189155
2025-08-10 0.011055 0.042366 0.137182 0.417889 1.171327 2.974746 7.390412